Grêmio Sãocarlense vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GDS
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
FER
0 - 3
GDS
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JAB
0 - 0
GDS
16%
20%
65%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 0
JAB
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
VOC
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 1
AME
54%
23%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AME
3 - 0
UNI
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +2 |