Paulista A3 1st Stage Round 9

Grêmio Prudente vs Itapirense analysis

Grêmio Prudente Itapirense
51 ELO 38
-4.3% Tilt -9.7%
4580º General ELO ranking 6927º
142º Country ELO ranking 282º
ELO win probability
70.1%
Grêmio Prudente
18.3%
Draw
11.6%
Itapirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
Grêmio Prudente
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Win probability
Itapirense
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio Prudente
+19%
-11%
Itapirense

ELO progression

Grêmio Prudente
Itapirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio Prudente
Grêmio Prudente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2024
LEM
Lemense
1 - 4
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
27%
24%
49%
50 41 9 0
17 Feb. 2024
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
3 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
60%
22%
19%
49 43 6 +1
10 Feb. 2024
BAN
Bandeirante SP
3 - 2
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
28%
26%
46%
50 45 5 -1
07 Feb. 2024
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
2 - 0
Sertãozinho
SER
59%
22%
19%
50 44 6 0
03 Feb. 2024
BER
EC São Bernardo
3 - 1
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
35%
26%
39%
51 47 4 -1

Matches

Itapirense
Itapirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2024
ITA
Itapirense
2 - 4
União São João
UNI
23%
24%
53%
40 50 10 0
17 Feb. 2024
VOT
Votuporanguense
2 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
65%
21%
14%
41 51 10 -1
10 Feb. 2024
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 1
Marília
MAR
18%
24%
58%
40 52 12 +1
07 Feb. 2024
CAB
RB Bragantino B
1 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
20%
21%
59%
41 21 20 -1
03 Feb. 2024
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 1
Rio Preto
RIO
34%
27%
39%
41 44 3 0