Grêmio vs Veranópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.3%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
0 - 2
GRE
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 2
SCI
48%
27%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
CEA
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 2
GRE
7%
18%
75%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Veranópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAX
0 - 1
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VER
2 - 1
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
YPI
2 - 0
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VER
2 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |