Grêmio vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
ATP
2 - 0
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
GRE
18%
26%
57%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CSA
85%
12%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAO
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATP
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 2
FLU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |