Grêmio vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
18%
27%
54%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 4
FLA
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
GRE
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 4
GOI
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |