Grêmio vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
GRE
1 - 3
GOI
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 0
GRE
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
GRE
0 - 2
COT
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
PAL
4 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATM
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
CRI
2 - 1
PAL
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |