Grêmio vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRU
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRU
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SLU
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAO
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAY
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |