Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 1
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
38%
30%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |