Grêmio vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
ECS
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
GRE
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
VER
85%
12%
3%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
16%
26%
58%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
6 - 0
ECA
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 1
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPO
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 3
OLI
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |