Grêmio vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.8%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8%
2.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
FLU
5 - 4
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 0
LAJ
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
LAJ
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SCI
6%
15%
79%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
LAJ
1 - 1
YPI
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SLU
3 - 2
LAJ
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |