Grêmio vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
43%
28%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
GRE
4 - 1
GOI
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
NAU
1 - 1
GRE
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
CEA
3 - 0
GRE
22%
30%
48%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1978 |
JEC
2 - 2
BAH
25%
25%
49%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
NAU
4 - 1
JEC
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1978 |
SAN
3 - 0
JEC
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
JEC
0 - 2
GOI
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
JEC
1 - 0
CEA
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |