Grêmio vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
JUV
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
GRE
17%
23%
61%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 2
CAX
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
11%
21%
69%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 1
EST
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 1
DCO
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 2
HUA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
HUA
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |