Grêmio vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 0
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 1
ECS
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
4 - 0
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 2
OHI
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 0
HUA
14%
22%
65%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HUA
0 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 1
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
HUA
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |