Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
GRE
19%
25%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 2
FLA
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
SCI
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLA
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |