Grêmio vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 2
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 3
SCI
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SCI
2 - 3
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 3
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AMF
2 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ATP
5 - 0
BAH
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |