Grêmio vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 0
GRE
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 1
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRI
4 - 3
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
CRI
3 - 0
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 0
ATM
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRI
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 0
PAY
41%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |