Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
0 - 1
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 0
ECA
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 2
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
RIP
92%
7%
2%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
71%
18%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
CRU
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 2
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |