Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
HUA
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
JUV
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
GRE
17%
23%
61%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
4 - 0
CUI
55%
24%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
6 - 0
DRZ
92%
7%
2%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
3 - 0
GRE
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
AME
1 - 4
ATP
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
ATP
13%
24%
64%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | +1 |