Grêmio vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
CGA
0 - 0
GRE
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 1
JEC
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
GRE
4 - 0
CGA
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 0
PPE
60%
24%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
JEC
2 - 0
ATP
30%
30%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1983 |
ATP
1 - 3
PPE
52%
26%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
ATP
4 - 1
JEC
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
CGA
0 - 0
ATP
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1983 |
PPE
2 - 4
ATP
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |