Grêmio vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
CRZ
0 - 2
GRE
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
POR
1 - 1
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
POR
2 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |