Grêmio Osasco vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUD
3 - 0
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
AUD
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
PEN
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
XVD
2 - 0
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
XVD
3 - 2
AUD
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
XVD
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
XVD
2 - 2
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AUD
3 - 2
XVD
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
XVD
2 - 0
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |