Grêmio Osasco vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 3
DES
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AUD
1 - 1
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 3
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
COM
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BER
0 - 2
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DES
2 - 2
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |