Maringá vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
75%
18%
7%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAX
3 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAX
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 0
FOZ
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
OPE
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
SCI
16%
27%
57%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAR
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |