Maringá vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
PRU
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PRU
0 - 2
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CIA
2 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 3
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
FFL
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |