Grêmio Jaciara vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Jaciara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
LUV
1 - 2
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 0
LUV
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
OPE
0 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MIX
1 - 2
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BAR
4 - 0
OPE
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
OPE
3 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
OPE
0 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
OPE
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SIN
1 - 2
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |