Copa São Paulo de Futebol Júnior 1/32

Grêmio U20 vs Mirassol U20 analysis

Grêmio U20 Mirassol U20
43 ELO 9
6% Tilt 1.3%
5377º General ELO ranking 15392º
198º Country ELO ranking 525º
ELO win probability
78.4%
Grêmio U20
13.3%
Draw
8.4%
Mirassol U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
Grêmio U20
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.4%
Win probability
Mirassol U20
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Grêmio U20
Mirassol U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio U20
Grêmio U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2024
IDB
Inter de Bebedouro U20
2 - 6
Grêmio U20
GRE
4%
13%
84%
43 7 36 0
06 Jan. 2024
FIG
Figueirense U20
0 - 6
Grêmio U20
GRE
10%
15%
75%
43 10 33 0
03 Jan. 2024
GRE
Grêmio U20
6 - 0
Serra Branca U20
SBC
79%
13%
8%
43 9 34 0
28 Jul. 2023
COR
Corinthians U20
2 - 1
Grêmio U20
GRE
63%
21%
16%
43 51 8 0
20 Jul. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U20
1 - 2
Corinthians U20
COR
32%
24%
44%
44 51 7 -1

Matches

Mirassol U20
Mirassol U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2024
MIR
Mirassol U20
1 - 1
ABC U20
ABC
55%
23%
23%
10 7 3 0
06 Jan. 2024
MIR
Mirassol U20
0 - 0
Coimbra U20
COI
37%
22%
42%
10 10 0 0
03 Jan. 2024
MIR
Mirassol U20
1 - 0
Sampaio Corrêa U20
SAM
41%
22%
38%
9 9 0 +1