Grêmio Sub 20 vs Athlético PR Sub 20 analysis


36	ELO	43
-0.5%	Tilt	-0.9%
5157º	General ELO ranking	4608º
205º	Country ELO ranking	167º
ELO win probability

30%

Grêmio Sub 20

24.7%

Draw

45.3%

Athlético PR Sub 20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

30%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%

24.7%

Draw

0-0

5.9%

1-1

11.6%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

24.7%

45.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%