Grêmio Barueri vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
3 - 1
GRÊ
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
GRÊ
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TAB
2 - 4
GRÊ
14%
19%
68%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 1
GRÊ
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TAU
2 - 1
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAU
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
PFC
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
TAU
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |