Grêmio Barueri vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
INT
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 2
GRÊ
23%
22%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
PFC
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COR
4 - 0
GRÊ
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ITU
3 - 1
BOT
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITU
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
ITU
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
COR
4 - 0
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |