Farroupilha vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
64%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
FAR
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
GEB
38%
25%
38%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |