Gremio Anapolis vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 4
ATL
7%
19%
75%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 1
ACA
65%
21%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
GRE
55%
27%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
VOL
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 3
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |