Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 2
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
AYR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 2
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
RAI
0 - 1
DUN
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 1
RAI
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
RAI
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RAI
0 - 1
LIV
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |