Greenock Morton vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
HOM
2 - 1
GRE
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
QOS
1 - 0
GRE
60%
20%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
GLA
3 - 1
GRE
82%
11%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
GRE
2 - 6
HAM
35%
21%
45%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
QUE
5 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
KIL
3 - 3
ABE
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
HAM
4 - 2
KIL
75%
14%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
ARB
2 - 1
KIL
48%
22%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
KIL
1 - 1
QOS
68%
17%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
GLA
4 - 1
KIL
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |