Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Greenock Morton vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
STM
0 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
GRE
2 - 1
ABE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
0 - 0
GRE
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 2
MHE
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
GRE
5 - 2
KIL
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
HIB
1 - 0
STR
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
GLA
2 - 1
HIB
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
HIB
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |