Greenock Morton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
ABE
0 - 1
GRE
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
GRE
1 - 0
STM
83%
12%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
PAR
4 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1921 |
GRE
0 - 1
HAM
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
HOM
0 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1921 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
30%
24%
45%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
HAM
2 - 0
FAL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1921 |
FAL
2 - 0
KIL
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
FAL
2 - 1
CLY
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |