Scottish Championship Round 35

Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Greenock Morton Dunfermline Athletic FC
60 ELO 64
9.8% Tilt -3%
1345º General ELO ranking 1792º
19º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
42%
Greenock Morton
26.7%
Draw
31.4%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Greenock Morton
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.4%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greenock Morton
+5%
-2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Greenock Morton
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greenock Morton
Greenock Morton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2008
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 3
Greenock Morton
GRE
59%
23%
18%
57 62 5 0
12 Apr. 2008
STJ
St. Johnstone
3 - 2
Greenock Morton
GRE
74%
17%
9%
57 74 17 0
05 Apr. 2008
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 2
Dundee
DUN
34%
26%
40%
58 67 9 -1
29 Mar. 2008
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
63%
22%
15%
58 67 9 0
22 Mar. 2008
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 1
Livingston
LIV
50%
24%
26%
58 58 0 0

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2008
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Clyde
CLY
57%
25%
18%
65 58 7 0
05 Apr. 2008
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
50%
26%
24%
64 63 1 +1
29 Mar. 2008
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
68%
20%
12%
64 75 11 0
25 Mar. 2008
STI
Stirling Albion
2 - 3
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
40%
27%
34%
63 55 8 +1
22 Mar. 2008
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 1
Dundee
DUN
38%
27%
35%
64 67 3 -1