Greenock Morton vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1918 |
GRE
3 - 1
STM
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1918 |
GLA
4 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1918 |
GRE
1 - 1
HIB
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1918 |
GRE
2 - 2
KIL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1918 |
CLY
0 - 2
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1918 |
DUM
0 - 1
TLA
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1918 |
KIL
0 - 0
DUM
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1918 |
DUM
3 - 1
CLY
77%
15%
9%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1918 |
TLA
4 - 1
DUM
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1917 |
CLY
1 - 2
DUM
62%
18%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |