Greenock Morton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
6º
55
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 2
GRE
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
COV
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
DUN
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 2
QUE
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 2
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 2
ICT
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
RAI
0 - 0
AYR
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
0 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
4 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 0
AYR
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |