Greenock Morton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
6º
34
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
AYR
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ICT
0 - 1
GRE
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
COV
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 2
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARB
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
ARB
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 2
QUE
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 2
ARB
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |