Green Island vs Selwyn United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
9º
8º
10
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
6 - 2
GIA
29%
20%
52%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIA
94%
4%
2%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 4
NSF
36%
21%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 1
COA
55%
19%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
GIA
2 - 0
FCT
94%
5%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
CAS
5%
9%
86%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SUF
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 2
CHR
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 1
SUF
6%
12%
82%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
DUN
40%
21%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |