Green Island vs Otago University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
63.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GIA
1 - 0
QUE
76%
14%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
GIA
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 15
CHR
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
GIA
31%
20%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
OTU
12%
15%
74%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ROW
1 - 0
OTU
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 4
OTU
18%
17%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
OTU
0 - 4
GIA
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
WNK
3 - 3
OTU
23%
19%
57%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |