Green Island vs Northern AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
HTA
1 - 6
GIA
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 2
ROW
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GIA
9 - 1
QUE
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SCR
3 - 1
GIA
34%
22%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
OTU
0 - 5
GIA
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 1
WES
10%
14%
77%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WCR
3 - 2
NAF
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
NAF
0 - 5
MOS
22%
19%
59%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAF
3 - 2
HAW
4%
11%
85%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | +7 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 1
OTU
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +4 |