Green Gully Cavaliers vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAS
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
HUM
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HUM
1 - 2
RIC
63%
21%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
RIC
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 1
SOU
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIC
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |