Grebbestad vs Vårgårda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
UDD
1 - 3
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
TRO
28%
23%
50%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
GRE
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
KAR
0 - 0
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
VFK
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vårgårda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VAG
2 - 0
STE
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
UDD
1 - 0
VAG
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
VAG
2 - 2
SKO
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
VAG
3 - 1
LID
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
TRO
4 - 3
VAG
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |