Grbalj vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
MLA
2 - 0
GRB
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 0
PET
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 0
JED
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
RUD
0 - 2
GRB
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 3
ZET
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
MOG
1 - 2
RUD
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
ZET
1 - 0
MOG
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MOG
0 - 0
BUD
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
DEC
2 - 0
MOG
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
MOG
0 - 0
BER
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |