Montenegro League Round 5

Grbalj vs Decic analysis

Grbalj Decic
66 ELO 60
3.5% Tilt -13.5%
4097º General ELO ranking 2076º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.7%
Grbalj
23.2%
Draw
18.1%
Decic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Grbalj
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
Decic
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grbalj
-12%
+9%
Decic

ELO progression

Grbalj
Decic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grbalj
Grbalj
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2013
SUT
Sutjeska
0 - 1
Grbalj
GRB
55%
25%
20%
65 69 4 0
24 Aug. 2013
GRB
Grbalj
2 - 2
Petrovac
PET
53%
25%
23%
65 63 2 0
17 Aug. 2013
MOR
Mornar
1 - 2
Grbalj
GRB
36%
29%
35%
65 60 5 0
10 Aug. 2013
GRB
Grbalj
0 - 1
Mogren
MOG
53%
24%
23%
65 62 3 0
01 Jun. 2013
GRB
Grbalj
1 - 1
Zeta
ZET
51%
24%
25%
66 64 2 -1

Matches

Decic
Decic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2013
DEC
Decic
2 - 2
Celik Niksic
FKC
31%
29%
40%
60 65 5 0
25 Aug. 2013
SUT
Sutjeska
4 - 1
Decic
DEC
58%
24%
18%
61 67 6 -1
17 Aug. 2013
DEC
Decic
0 - 0
Lovcen
LOV
39%
30%
32%
61 62 1 0
10 Aug. 2013
PET
Petrovac
0 - 0
Decic
DEC
48%
27%
26%
61 63 2 0
26 May. 2013
DEC
Decic
1 - 2
FK Bokelj
BOK
49%
28%
23%
62 57 5 -1