Grazer AK vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
WIE
1 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1964 |
ZAG
3 - 2
GRA
54%
19%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
GRA
0 - 2
WIN
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
WIE
2 - 2
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
GRA
1 - 0
AWM
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1964 |
ZAG
3 - 2
GRA
54%
19%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |