Grays Athletic vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MET
3 - 1
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LOW
2 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BIL
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 0
GRA
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIN
26%
23%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MER
4 - 1
NEE
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 2
TON
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NEE
1 - 2
HAR
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NEE
1 - 1
DUL
40%
25%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NEE
2 - 0
WRO
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -1 |