Grasshopper II vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
7º
1º
28
5º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WOH
3 - 4
GRA
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
RTK
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
BAS
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
3 - 0
DIE
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
LAN
31%
22%
48%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 1
THU
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
BBB
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
FCP
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
MUN
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |