Swiss Super League Round 1

Grasshopper vs Luzern analysis

Grasshopper Luzern
83 ELO 84
0.9% Tilt -4.9%
428º General ELO ranking 276º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.7%
Grasshopper
24.5%
Draw
37.8%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Grasshopper
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.8%
Win probability
Luzern
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grasshopper
-4%
-7%
Luzern

Points and table prediction

Grasshopper
Their league position
Luzern
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
12º
12º
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
St. Gallen
9
38
33%
Thun
9
37
23.5%
Sion
7
33
9%
Basel
3
32
12%
Lausanne Sports
3
31
8%
Luzern
4
30
9%
Young Boys
5
30
12.5%
Zurich
4
30
10%
FC Lugano
3
28
11%
Servette
11º
1
27
10º
10%
Winterthur
12º
1
27
11º
14%
Grasshopper
10º
1
26
12º
23%
Expected probabilities
Grasshopper
Luzern
Play-offs for the title
23.5% 52%
Relegation play-offs
76.5% 48%

ELO progression

Grasshopper
Luzern
Thun
Winterthur
Servette
St. Gallen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grasshopper
Grasshopper
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 3
West Ham
WHU
24%
23%
53%
83 90 7 0
11 Jul. 2025
SIO
Sion
0 - 3
Grasshopper
GCZ
50%
24%
26%
83 84 1 0
04 Jul. 2025
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
55%
22%
24%
83 76 7 0
30 May. 2025
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
34%
26%
40%
84 78 6 -1
27 May. 2025
GCZ
Grasshopper
4 - 0
Aarau
FCA
49%
23%
29%
83 79 4 +1

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
FCL
Luzern
3 - 0
Rapperswil
RAP
61%
21%
18%
84 74 10 0
12 Jul. 2025
ALT
SCR Altach
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
25%
24%
51%
84 79 5 0
05 Jul. 2025
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Kreuzlingen
KRE
79%
15%
7%
84 56 28 0
05 Jul. 2025
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
48%
24%
29%
84 81 3 0
02 Jul. 2025
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
67%
19%
14%
84 70 14 0